martes, 29 de enero de 2008
miércoles, 9 de enero de 2008
Recesión en USA para el 2008?????
En español
Reuters
Goldman Sachs sees recession in 2008
Wednesday January 9, 8:33 am ET
NEW YORK (Reuters) - Goldman Sachs on Wednesday said it expects the U.S. economy to drop into recession this year, prompting the Federal Reserve to slash benchmark lending rates to 2.5 percent by the third quarter.
In a note to clients, Goldman said real gross domestic product would contract by 1 percent on an annualized basis in both the second and third quarters. For all of 2008, the investment bank said GDP would rise by 0.8 percent.
The unemployment rate will rise to 6.5 percent in 2009 from the current 5 percent, it said.
The weakening economy will force the Fed to lower policy rates by an additional 1.75 percentage points from the current 4.25 percent. Starting in September, the Fed cut rates at the last three meetings of the Federal Open Market Committee, reducing the target rate on loans between banks by 1 percentage point from 5.25 percent.
Goldman strongly advises fund managers to overweight health care, consumer staples, energy and utilities. They are significantly underweight consumer discretionary, financials, industrials, materials and information technology.
The three most significant changes to their sector recommendations are the reduction in the financial sector weighting by 300 basis points to 14 percent, the information technology weighting by 400 basis points to 15 percent, and the increase in their health care weighting by 300 basis points to 17 percent, the firm said.
Their reduced allocation to financials reflects weak fundamentals and their declining weight in the S&P 500. The reduction in information technology reflects that the group has been the second-worst performing sector in both the six months leading up to a recession and during the first phase of a recession, Goldman said.
The health care weighting change reflects strong performance of the group during the six months leading up to and during the first phase of a recession in addition to an attractive valuation, Goldman said.
On Monday, Merrill Lynch economist David Rosenberg said the jump in U.S. unemployment in December confirmed that the economy was entering a recession.
Reuters
Goldman Sachs sees recession in 2008
Wednesday January 9, 8:33 am ET
NEW YORK (Reuters) - Goldman Sachs on Wednesday said it expects the U.S. economy to drop into recession this year, prompting the Federal Reserve to slash benchmark lending rates to 2.5 percent by the third quarter.
In a note to clients, Goldman said real gross domestic product would contract by 1 percent on an annualized basis in both the second and third quarters. For all of 2008, the investment bank said GDP would rise by 0.8 percent.
The unemployment rate will rise to 6.5 percent in 2009 from the current 5 percent, it said.
The weakening economy will force the Fed to lower policy rates by an additional 1.75 percentage points from the current 4.25 percent. Starting in September, the Fed cut rates at the last three meetings of the Federal Open Market Committee, reducing the target rate on loans between banks by 1 percentage point from 5.25 percent.
Goldman strongly advises fund managers to overweight health care, consumer staples, energy and utilities. They are significantly underweight consumer discretionary, financials, industrials, materials and information technology.
The three most significant changes to their sector recommendations are the reduction in the financial sector weighting by 300 basis points to 14 percent, the information technology weighting by 400 basis points to 15 percent, and the increase in their health care weighting by 300 basis points to 17 percent, the firm said.
Their reduced allocation to financials reflects weak fundamentals and their declining weight in the S&P 500. The reduction in information technology reflects that the group has been the second-worst performing sector in both the six months leading up to a recession and during the first phase of a recession, Goldman said.
The health care weighting change reflects strong performance of the group during the six months leading up to and during the first phase of a recession in addition to an attractive valuation, Goldman said.
On Monday, Merrill Lynch economist David Rosenberg said the jump in U.S. unemployment in December confirmed that the economy was entering a recession.
viernes, 4 de enero de 2008
HCC ACQUIRES MULTINATIONAL UNDERWRITERS
Traducir al español
HCC ACQUIRES MULTINATIONAL UNDERWRITERS;
RECEIVES APPROVAL FOR NEW LLOYD’S SYNDICATE
HOUSTON (January 3, 2008) . . .
HCC Insurance Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: HCC) announced today that it had acquired Indianapolis, Indiana-based MultiNational Underwriters, LLC (MNU).
MNU is a recognized leader in international life, accident and health insurance offering coverage to customers in more than 130 countries. MNU’s clients include United States citizens traveling or residing outside the country, U.S. corporations with employees and their families traveling or residing abroad, foreign nationals and the employees of foreign companies outside their home countries, missionary organizations, and institutions of higher education with foreign programs.
Founded in 1998, MNU is expected to write more than $40 million in premium in 2008. President Betsy Brougher and the MNU team of professionals in Indianapolis and at locations around the world will remain with the company following closing.
In conjunction with the MNU acquisition, HCC has received approval from Lloyd’s, effective January 1, 2008, to establish a new Lloyd’s Syndicate, 4141, which will initially write the MNU international accident and health insurance, and other selected lines of business in the future. The 2008 year capacity of Syndicate 4141 is approximately $24 million. In addition to Syndicate 4141, HCC Underwriting Agency Limited will continue to manage Syndicate 4040.
"MultiNational Underwriters’ success is driven by the use of the Internet as a vehicle for offering 24-hour-a-day insurance services worldwide, a concept that it continues to refine. We are proud to add a company as innovative as MNU to the HCC organization," HCC Chief Executive Officer Frank J. Bramanti said.
"Our Lloyd’s platform will enable HCC to continue to expand its product offerings as well as allow HCC to avail itself of the many advantages of underwriting in the Lloyd’s market," Mr. Bramanti said.
Headquartered in Houston, Texas, HCC Insurance Holdings, Inc. (HCC) is a leading international specialty insurance group with offices across the United States and in Bermuda, Spain, Ireland and the United Kingdom. HCC has assets of more than $8.0 billion, shareholders’ equity in excess of $2.3 billion and is rated AA (Very Strong) by Standard & Poor’s, AA (Very Strong) by Fitch Ratings and A+ (Superior) by A.M. Best Company.
For more information, visit our website at www.hcc.com.
HCC ACQUIRES MULTINATIONAL UNDERWRITERS;
RECEIVES APPROVAL FOR NEW LLOYD’S SYNDICATE
HOUSTON (January 3, 2008) . . .
HCC Insurance Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: HCC) announced today that it had acquired Indianapolis, Indiana-based MultiNational Underwriters, LLC (MNU).
MNU is a recognized leader in international life, accident and health insurance offering coverage to customers in more than 130 countries. MNU’s clients include United States citizens traveling or residing outside the country, U.S. corporations with employees and their families traveling or residing abroad, foreign nationals and the employees of foreign companies outside their home countries, missionary organizations, and institutions of higher education with foreign programs.
Founded in 1998, MNU is expected to write more than $40 million in premium in 2008. President Betsy Brougher and the MNU team of professionals in Indianapolis and at locations around the world will remain with the company following closing.
In conjunction with the MNU acquisition, HCC has received approval from Lloyd’s, effective January 1, 2008, to establish a new Lloyd’s Syndicate, 4141, which will initially write the MNU international accident and health insurance, and other selected lines of business in the future. The 2008 year capacity of Syndicate 4141 is approximately $24 million. In addition to Syndicate 4141, HCC Underwriting Agency Limited will continue to manage Syndicate 4040.
"MultiNational Underwriters’ success is driven by the use of the Internet as a vehicle for offering 24-hour-a-day insurance services worldwide, a concept that it continues to refine. We are proud to add a company as innovative as MNU to the HCC organization," HCC Chief Executive Officer Frank J. Bramanti said.
"Our Lloyd’s platform will enable HCC to continue to expand its product offerings as well as allow HCC to avail itself of the many advantages of underwriting in the Lloyd’s market," Mr. Bramanti said.
Headquartered in Houston, Texas, HCC Insurance Holdings, Inc. (HCC) is a leading international specialty insurance group with offices across the United States and in Bermuda, Spain, Ireland and the United Kingdom. HCC has assets of more than $8.0 billion, shareholders’ equity in excess of $2.3 billion and is rated AA (Very Strong) by Standard & Poor’s, AA (Very Strong) by Fitch Ratings and A+ (Superior) by A.M. Best Company.
For more information, visit our website at www.hcc.com.
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